Sorry for the delay in posting my predictions. To be quite honest, only 2 fights on the card are remotely interesting to me. The juggling of the card due to injury has been disappointing. I understand that this is beyond anyone's control, but it sure makes it hard to build momentum towards a fight. Without further delay....
Fabricio "Vai Cavalo" Werdum 10-3-1 vs. Brandon "The Truth" Vera 8-1
There are so many reasons to pick Vera in this fight. The only blemish on his record is a decision loss to former UFC heavyweight champ Tim Sylvia. Vera is an explsive fighter posting 6 of his 8 wins via knockout. Verdum however is a brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt who holds a win over current UFC heavyweight champ Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira. Vera at one time was the heir apparent to the heavyweight crown and he should continue on that track in this one. Expect this to be a fantastic fight.
Prediction: Vera by stoppage, 2nd round
Nate "The Great" Marquardt 29-7-1 vs. Thales Leites 12-1
Marquardt is an impressive 5-1 in UFC competition, his only loss coming to the current champ Anderson Silva. Marquardt is an all around talented fighter with the cardio to go the distance. Thales Leites is on a 3 fight win streak but has yet to fight a top named opponent. He definately appears to have the advantage on the ground if he can get it there.
Prediction: Marquardt by unanimous decision.
Marcus "The Irish Hand Grenade" Davis 19-4 vs. Mike "Quick" Swick 11-2
This one is my pick for fight of the night. Davis is a heavy puncher who seems comfortable, standing or on the ground. Swick is an all around fighter who likes to throw. Despite the fact that his last 5 fights were by decision or submission, expect Swick to keep it standing. This is set up to be a very explosive fight. Davis is on a 6 fight win streak, dont expect it to end here.
Prediciton: Davis by knockout, 1st round
Michael "The Count" Bisping 16-1 vs, Jason "Dooms" Day 17-5
Yawn. Bisping is going to kill Day. You cant help but feel like Dana White decided to throw a fresh steak (Day) into the ring for the hometown savage (Bisping) to devour in front of the crowd. I dont see how Day stays competitive.This one will end quickly.
Prediction: Bisping by knockout, 1st round.
And now for the (*sigh*) main event
Matt Hughes 43-6 vs. Thiago "Pit Bull" Alves 20-4
Dont get me wrong, Im a huge Matt Hughes fan. I just happen to think his best fights are behind him. If it werent for injuries, this fight would not even have happened let alone be put down as the top billing. Hughes is on his way out and his last real marketable fight is vs. Matt Serra especially having been beaten by twice by current champ Geroges St. Pierre. Alves has heavy hands and Hughes only real chance is to take this to the ground. Alves is nowhere near the wrestler that Hughes is. I see Hughes taking this fight to the ground and pounding out a win.
Prediciton: Hughes by TKO, 2nd round.
While there could be some interesting fights on this card, I just dont see it as being an exciting pay per view. Hopefully the Cane vs. Lambert fight makes it to the live show. Cane is a real nut job and is going to play the role as a great villian in the UFC. Trust me, you will love to hate this guy.
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